HKU POP SITE releases the latest findings on the popularity of CE Tung Chee-hwa and people's appraisal of the performance of the HKSAR GovernmentBack


Press Release on November 25, 2003
 

The Public Opinion Programme (POP) at the University of Hong Kong today releases on schedule via the "HKU POP SITE" (http://hkupop.hku.hk) the latest findings on the popularity of CE Tung Chee-hwa and people's appraisal of the performance of the HKSAR Government. Figures obtained since early October are summarized as follows:

 
 Date of survey 1-2/10 19-22/10 3-6/11 10-12/11 15-18/11
 Sample base 1,052 1,017 1,001 1,062 1,030
 Overall response rate 65.7% 60.0% 60.7% 63.4% 64.1%
 Sampling error of rating(at 95% confidence level)* +/-1.2 +/-1.4 +/- 1.4 +/- 1.4 +/- 1.4
 Sampling error of percentages(at 95% confidence level)* +/- 3% +/- 3% +/- 3% -- +/- 3%
 
 Support rating of CH Tung 45.5 44.1 44.2 42.8 43.6
 Vote of confidence in CH Tung 22% 17% 19% -- 17%
 Vote of no confidence in CH Tung 62% 65% 65% -- 65%
 Satisfaction rate of SARG performance** -- 17% -- -- 13%
 Dissatisfaction rate of SARG performance** -- 48% -- -- 56%

* "95% confidence level" means that if we were to repeat a certain survey 100 times, using the same questions each time but with different random samples, we would expect 95 times getting a figure within the error margins specified.
** Collapsed from a 5-point scale.

 

Results showed that the latest rating of CE Tung Chee-hwa registered in mid-November, right before the District Council Election, was 43.6 marks. The figure has dropped when compared to that of last month. Meanwhile, 65% of the respondents did not support Tung as the Chief Executive, whereas 17% did. As for people's appraisal of the performance of the HKSAR Government, the latest findings revealed that 56% were dissatisfied, whilst 13% were satisfied.

 

Robert Ting-Yiu Chung, Director of Public Opinion Programme, made the following analysis: "The popularity of CE Tung and the SAR Government has both gone down, right before the District Council Election. CE's rating is now significantly below the credibility crisis level, and the government must handle prudently what could be the next crisis - that of appointing members into the District Councils. Maybe it should consult the people first."

 

POP's normal practice is to release the results of our regular surveys every Tuesday at 2 pm via our POP Site, except during public holidays, each time with a forecast of the items to be released in the forthcoming week. We will review and adjust this operation regularly. According to this schedule, the date and time of our next release will be December 2, 2003, Tuesday, at 2 pm, the latest ratings of the most well-known political groups will be released.

 

Shall anyone have any question regarding the research design of the surveys published in the POP Site, members of the POP Team will be happy to answer them, but we will not further comment on the findings. Shall any person or journalist have any other questions, please email them to us at <[email protected]>. The Director of Public Opinion Programme would answer them as soon as possible. We will keep such an arrangement under constant review, suggestions most welcome. Please note that everything carried in the POP Site does not represent the stand of the University of Hong Kong. Dr Robert Ting-Yiu Chung, Director of Public Opinion Programme, is responsible for everything posted herewith, except for column articles which represent the stand of their authors.