HKU POP SITE releases headcount results of January 1 Rally Back
|Press Release on January 6, 2010|
The Public Opinion Programme (POP) at the University of Hong Kong conducted a headcount of the January 1 Rally organized by the Power for Democracy at the Walkway System on the footbridge of Central-Mid-Levels Escalator at the joint of Queen's Road Central and Cochrane Street in Central on January 1, 2010. Headcount figures showed that, excluding those who left the rally before the march arriving the checkpoint or joined the march after it, 8,774 people passed by the checkpoint. According to our previous data, it is estimated that the total number of participants of the January 1 Rally should be in between 10,000 and 12,000.
The adjustment factor was found by making reference to similar rallies out of the 20 mass demonstration headcount projects involving POP since the July 1 Rally in 2003. For more details, please refer to the 'Research on Mass Gatherings and Rallies Feature Page' at the "HKU POP SITE" (at http://hkupop.hku.hk).The following table and findings are for reference.
Herewith the table summarizes the headcount record of various mass demonstration headcount projects which POP have taken part in. POP's involvement varied each time, sometimes assisting scholars or student research team, sometimes taking part in directly. For more details, please visit the "POP SITE".
The counting process and projected figures of the 'Rally for Universal Suffrage' on December 4, 2005 are as follows. It is also the blueprint of the January 1 Rally of this year.
After the rally in 2005, POP interviewed 4,062 Hong Kong citizens aged eighteen or above between December 9, 2005 and January 20, 2006 by means of a random telephone survey and 225 said they had participated in that rally. Among them, 78.6% claimed that they had passed through the POP checkpoint and hence, the adjustment factor obtained is in between 1.18 and 1.38.
Although the nature, the route and the checkpoint of each rally may not be the same, the adjustment factor is indeed very similar with other rallies of the same type. Prior to obtaining other data, it should be applicable to this year's January 1 Rally. For more details, please refer to POP SITE.